fix: disable qwen3.5 thinking mode for analyzer (was consuming all tokens), increase timeout

config/current_config.json

@@ -51,21 +51,21 @@
     "type": "classification",
     "direction": "long",
     "horizon_candles": 6,
-    "threshold_pct": 1.0
+    "threshold_pct": 1.5
   },
   "hyperparameters": {
     "learning_rate": 0.05,
-    "max_depth": 6,
+    "max_depth": 4,
     "n_estimators": 500,
     "subsample": 0.8,
     "colsample_bytree": 0.8,
     "min_child_weight": 5,
     "gamma": 0.1,
-    "reg_alpha": 0.1,
+    "reg_alpha": 0.5,
-    "reg_lambda": 1.0
+    "reg_lambda": 2.0
   },
   "strategy": {
-    "entry_threshold": 0.6,
+    "entry_threshold": 0.75,
     "exit_type": "trailing_stop",
     "stop_loss_pct": 2.0,
     "take_profit_pct": 4.0,

llm_client/analyzer.py

@@ -134,6 +134,7 @@ Analyze these results and suggest 1-3 specific modifications to the config. Retu
             {"role": "user", "content": user_prompt},
         ],
         "stream": False,
+        "think": False,
         "options": {
             "temperature": 0.7,
             "num_predict": 4096,
@@ -141,7 +142,7 @@ Analyze these results and suggest 1-3 specific modifications to the config. Retu
     }
 
     print(f"  Calling LLM ({MODEL} on Mac Mini)...")
-    resp = requests.post(f"{OLLAMA_URL}/api/chat", json=payload, timeout=300)
+    resp = requests.post(f"{OLLAMA_URL}/api/chat", json=payload, timeout=600)
     resp.raise_for_status()
     content = resp.json()["message"]["content"]
 

results/iterations.jsonl

@@ -0,0 +1,2 @@
+{"iteration": 1, "timestamp": "2026-03-19T22:27:13.722573+00:00", "sharpe": -0.619, "return": -40.57, "max_drawdown": -41.08, "win_rate": 0.279, "trades": 104, "profit_factor": 0.369, "model_type": "xgboost", "is_best": false, "config": {"model_type": "xgboost", "features": {"technical_indicators": ["RSI_14", "RSI_7", "RSI_21", "MACD_line", "MACD_signal", "MACD_hist", "BB_upper", "BB_lower", "BB_width", "ATR_14", "SMA_5", "SMA_10", "SMA_20", "SMA_50", "SMA_200", "EMA_5", "EMA_10", "EMA_20", "EMA_50", "OBV", "stoch_k", "stoch_d", "williams_r", "CCI_20", "ROC_10", "keltner_upper", "keltner_lower"], "lookback_periods": [3, 5, 10, 20], "use_volume_features": true, "use_volatility_features": true, "use_candle_patterns": true, "use_lag_features": true, "lag_periods": [1, 2, 3, 5]}, "target": {"type": "classification", "direction": "long", "horizon_candles": 6, "threshold_pct": 1.0}, "hyperparameters": {"learning_rate": 0.05, "max_depth": 6, "n_estimators": 500, "subsample": 0.8, "colsample_bytree": 0.8, "min_child_weight": 5, "gamma": 0.1, "reg_alpha": 0.1, "reg_lambda": 1.0}, "strategy": {"entry_threshold": 0.6, "exit_type": "trailing_stop", "stop_loss_pct": 2.0, "take_profit_pct": 4.0, "trailing_stop_pct": 1.5, "position_sizing": "confidence_scaled", "max_position_pct": 100, "min_confidence_to_trade": 0.55}, "training": {"walk_forward_windows": 5, "train_pct": 0.7, "validation_pct": 0.15, "test_pct": 0.15}, "timeframe": "4h"}, "results": {"sharpe_ratio": -0.619, "total_return_pct": -40.57, "max_drawdown_pct": -41.08, "win_rate": 0.279, "trade_count": 104, "profit_factor": 0.369, "avg_trade_duration_candles": 3.0, "feature_importances": {"EMA_20": 0.0295, "EMA_5": 0.0232, "OBV": 0.0222, "SMA_200": 0.022, "keltner_upper": 0.0199, "SMA_5": 0.0187, "price_vs_vwap": 0.0186, "RSI_21": 0.0186, "SMA_50": 0.0183, "high_low_range_10": 0.0177, "price_vs_SMA_200": 0.0176, "RSI_14": 0.0175, "EMA_50": 0.0172, "SMA_20": 0.0172, "ATR_pct": 0.0166, "BB_lower": 0.0164, "vwap_approx": 0.0163, "SMA_10": 0.0161, "hist_volatility": 0.0158, "CCI_20": 0.0157, "high_low_range_20": 0.0157, "MACD_signal": 0.0155, "return_5": 0.0155, "MACD_line": 0.0155, "price_vs_SMA_10": 0.0154, "MACD_hist": 0.0154, "price_vs_SMA_50": 0.0149, "return_10": 0.0148, "EMA_10": 0.0147, "BB_width": 0.0147}, "monthly_returns": [-10.9, -2.1, -8.85, 1.24, -3.7, -0.32, -7.86, -7.08, -3.35, -2.22, -2.34, -2.58, -1.06], "equity_curve": [1.0, 0.9835, 0.9619, 0.9407, 0.9279, 0.9075, 0.9043, 0.8954, 0.8959, 0.8942, 0.8794, 0.8649, 0.8808, 0.877, 0.8809, 0.888, 0.8767, 0.8731, 0.8677, 0.8486, 0.8409, 0.8224, 0.8212, 0.8199, 0.8018, 0.7948, 0.7862, 0.8161, 0.8118, 0.8427, 0.8395, 0.8285, 0.8103, 0.7925, 0.7751, 0.7686, 0.7846, 0.7875, 0.788, 0.775, 0.7801, 0.7819, 0.7863, 0.769, 0.7671, 0.7707, 0.7724, 0.7808, 0.7774, 0.7734, 0.7686, 0.765, 0.7529, 0.7443, 0.7356, 0.7304, 0.7183, 0.7254, 0.7164, 0.7007, 0.7096, 0.7026, 0.691, 0.6837, 0.6686, 0.6765, 0.6695, 0.6704, 0.6776, 0.6684, 0.6589, 0.6523, 0.6463, 0.6457, 0.6599, 0.6584, 0.6509, 0.649, 0.6432, 0.6291, 0.6317, 0.6497, 0.6386, 0.6364, 0.6335, 0.63, 0.6196, 0.6176, 0.6166, 0.6159, 0.6182, 0.6115, 0.6156, 0.6159, 0.614, 0.6075, 0.6008, 0.6058, 0.6076, 0.6055, 0.6006, 0.599, 0.5892, 0.5952, 0.5943], "per_window_sharpe": [-2.714, -0.921, -0.39, -1.089, -1.966]}}
+{"iteration": 2, "timestamp": "2026-03-19T22:32:18.314965+00:00", "sharpe": -0.546, "return": -18.32, "max_drawdown": -20.98, "win_rate": 0.34, "trades": 53, "profit_factor": 0.542, "model_type": "xgboost", "is_best": false, "config": {"model_type": "xgboost", "features": {"technical_indicators": ["RSI_14", "RSI_7", "RSI_21", "MACD_line", "MACD_signal", "MACD_hist", "BB_upper", "BB_lower", "BB_width", "ATR_14", "SMA_5", "SMA_10", "SMA_20", "SMA_50", "SMA_200", "EMA_5", "EMA_10", "EMA_20", "EMA_50", "OBV", "stoch_k", "stoch_d", "williams_r", "CCI_20", "ROC_10", "keltner_upper", "keltner_lower"], "lookback_periods": [3, 5, 10, 20], "use_volume_features": true, "use_volatility_features": true, "use_candle_patterns": true, "use_lag_features": true, "lag_periods": [1, 2, 3, 5]}, "target": {"type": "classification", "direction": "long", "horizon_candles": 6, "threshold_pct": 1.5}, "hyperparameters": {"learning_rate": 0.05, "max_depth": 4, "n_estimators": 500, "subsample": 0.8, "colsample_bytree": 0.8, "min_child_weight": 5, "gamma": 0.1, "reg_alpha": 0.5, "reg_lambda": 2.0}, "strategy": {"entry_threshold": 0.75, "exit_type": "trailing_stop", "stop_loss_pct": 2.0, "take_profit_pct": 4.0, "trailing_stop_pct": 1.5, "position_sizing": "confidence_scaled", "max_position_pct": 100, "min_confidence_to_trade": 0.55}, "training": {"walk_forward_windows": 5, "train_pct": 0.7, "validation_pct": 0.15, "test_pct": 0.15}, "timeframe": "4h"}, "results": {"sharpe_ratio": -0.546, "total_return_pct": -18.32, "max_drawdown_pct": -20.98, "win_rate": 0.34, "trade_count": 53, "profit_factor": 0.542, "avg_trade_duration_candles": 2.3, "feature_importances": {"EMA_20": 0.0295, "EMA_5": 0.0274, "OBV": 0.0252, "price_vs_SMA_50": 0.0219, "EMA_10": 0.0214, "SMA_200": 0.0207, "return_lag_5": 0.0191, "SMA_5": 0.0189, "vwap_approx": 0.0187, "price_vs_SMA_200": 0.0186, "BB_lower": 0.0181, "SMA_20": 0.0175, "ATR_pct": 0.0174, "keltner_upper": 0.0172, "volume_sma_20": 0.017, "ATR_14": 0.0169, "return_5": 0.0167, "BB_upper": 0.0166, "SMA_50": 0.0164, "RSI_21": 0.0163, "high_low_range_10": 0.0163, "hist_volatility": 0.0163, "high_low_range_20": 0.0163, "EMA_50": 0.0162, "keltner_lower": 0.016, "MACD_hist": 0.0159, "RSI_14_lag_1": 0.0152, "CCI_20": 0.015, "high_low_range_5": 0.015, "volatility_20": 0.0149}, "monthly_returns": [-2.62, -1.95, -4.71, 1.32, -2.8, 1.53, -1.85, -4.51, -2.54, -3.73, 0.01, -1.05, 2.97, 0.31], "equity_curve": [1.0, 0.9952, 0.9921, 0.9767, 0.974, 0.9579, 0.9754, 0.954, 0.9546, 0.9336, 0.9323, 0.9308, 0.9103, 0.9023, 0.8926, 0.9265, 0.9217, 0.9567, 0.9357, 0.9151, 0.8949, 0.8857, 0.8992, 0.9025, 0.9085, 0.9106, 0.9157, 0.8956, 0.8916, 0.8842, 0.8766, 0.8663, 0.852, 0.8467, 0.828, 0.8386, 0.8304, 0.8167, 0.808, 0.7902, 0.7995, 0.7912, 0.7984, 0.8069, 0.7995, 0.8115, 0.8109, 0.8086, 0.7908, 0.7941, 0.8167, 0.8076, 0.8143, 0.8168], "per_window_sharpe": [-2.302, -0.762, -6.981, -0.909, 4.91]}}

results/results_iter_1.json

@@ -0,0 +1,170 @@
+{
+  "sharpe_ratio": -0.619,
+  "total_return_pct": -40.57,
+  "max_drawdown_pct": -41.08,
+  "win_rate": 0.279,
+  "trade_count": 104,
+  "profit_factor": 0.369,
+  "avg_trade_duration_candles": 3.0,
+  "feature_importances": {
+    "EMA_20": 0.0295,
+    "EMA_5": 0.0232,
+    "OBV": 0.0222,
+    "SMA_200": 0.022,
+    "keltner_upper": 0.0199,
+    "SMA_5": 0.0187,
+    "price_vs_vwap": 0.0186,
+    "RSI_21": 0.0186,
+    "SMA_50": 0.0183,
+    "high_low_range_10": 0.0177,
+    "price_vs_SMA_200": 0.0176,
+    "RSI_14": 0.0175,
+    "EMA_50": 0.0172,
+    "SMA_20": 0.0172,
+    "ATR_pct": 0.0166,
+    "BB_lower": 0.0164,
+    "vwap_approx": 0.0163,
+    "SMA_10": 0.0161,
+    "hist_volatility": 0.0158,
+    "CCI_20": 0.0157,
+    "high_low_range_20": 0.0157,
+    "MACD_signal": 0.0155,
+    "return_5": 0.0155,
+    "MACD_line": 0.0155,
+    "price_vs_SMA_10": 0.0154,
+    "MACD_hist": 0.0154,
+    "price_vs_SMA_50": 0.0149,
+    "return_10": 0.0148,
+    "EMA_10": 0.0147,
+    "BB_width": 0.0147
+  },
+  "monthly_returns": [
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+    -2.1,
+    -8.85,
+    1.24,
+    -3.7,
+    -0.32,
+    -7.86,
+    -7.08,
+    -3.35,
+    -2.22,
+    -2.34,
+    -2.58,
+    -1.06
+  ],
+  "equity_curve": [
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+    0.5892,
+    0.5952,
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+  ],
+  "per_window_sharpe": [
+    -2.714,
+    -0.921,
+    -0.39,
+    -1.089,
+    -1.966
+  ]
+}

results/results_iter_2.json

@@ -0,0 +1,120 @@
+{
+  "sharpe_ratio": -0.546,
+  "total_return_pct": -18.32,
+  "max_drawdown_pct": -20.98,
+  "win_rate": 0.34,
+  "trade_count": 53,
+  "profit_factor": 0.542,
+  "avg_trade_duration_candles": 2.3,
+  "feature_importances": {
+    "EMA_20": 0.0295,
+    "EMA_5": 0.0274,
+    "OBV": 0.0252,
+    "price_vs_SMA_50": 0.0219,
+    "EMA_10": 0.0214,
+    "SMA_200": 0.0207,
+    "return_lag_5": 0.0191,
+    "SMA_5": 0.0189,
+    "vwap_approx": 0.0187,
+    "price_vs_SMA_200": 0.0186,
+    "BB_lower": 0.0181,
+    "SMA_20": 0.0175,
+    "ATR_pct": 0.0174,
+    "keltner_upper": 0.0172,
+    "volume_sma_20": 0.017,
+    "ATR_14": 0.0169,
+    "return_5": 0.0167,
+    "BB_upper": 0.0166,
+    "SMA_50": 0.0164,
+    "RSI_21": 0.0163,
+    "high_low_range_10": 0.0163,
+    "hist_volatility": 0.0163,
+    "high_low_range_20": 0.0163,
+    "EMA_50": 0.0162,
+    "keltner_lower": 0.016,
+    "MACD_hist": 0.0159,
+    "RSI_14_lag_1": 0.0152,
+    "CCI_20": 0.015,
+    "high_low_range_5": 0.015,
+    "volatility_20": 0.0149
+  },
+  "monthly_returns": [
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+    -1.95,
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+  ],
+  "per_window_sharpe": [
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+    -0.762,
+    -6.981,
+    -0.909,
+    4.91
+  ]
+}