BizzleBot
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5538f666c5
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fix: cycle-aware scoring thresholds for diminishing returns
PROBLEM: Fixed thresholds based on 2015-2018 extremes meant the score
could barely reach 65 in the current cycle. MVRV Z-Score bottoms are
getting shallower (-0.6 → -0.4 → -0.3), Puell floors are rising,
NUPL extremes are compressing. A 'good buy' in 2024+ looks different
than 2018.
SOLUTION: Widened scoring ranges across all metrics:
- MVRV Z-Score: 0-1.0 now scores 8/10 (was 0-0.5)
- Puell Multiple: 0.4-0.7 scores 8/10 (was 0.3-0.5)
- NUPL: 0-0.3 scores 8/10 (was 0-0.25)
- LTH Realized Price: 0-30% above scores 7/10 (was 0-20%)
- 200W SMA: 0-30% above scores 7/10 (was 0-20%)
- Drawdown: 40-60% scores 8/10 (was 50-70%)
- Fear & Greed: 0-15 scores 10/10 (was 0-10)
- RHODL: 0-200 scores 10/10 (was 0-100)
RESULT:
- Today: 75/100 Strong Accumulation (was 56)
- Nov 2022 bottom: 91/100 (still extreme)
- 2024-2026 now has meaningful signal variation
- Each threshold has a note explaining the cycle compression logic
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2026-03-21 22:35:13 +00:00 |
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BizzleBot
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62e32fc655
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feat: replace ML optimizer with on-chain accumulation zone monitor
Complete rewrite — replaces the ML-based signal optimizer with a transparent
on-chain metric monitoring dashboard. Scrapes 10 metrics from LookIntoBitcoin
(Playwright) and free APIs, scores each 0-10, composite 0-100.
Metrics: Fear & Greed, Puell Multiple, MVRV Z-Score, Drawdown from ATH,
Price vs 200W SMA, Reserve Risk, RHODL Ratio, NUPL, LTH Realized Price,
Hash Ribbons. Auto-refreshes every 15 minutes. Settings page preserved.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-03-20 22:31:29 +00:00 |
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